Posted on 14-05-2008
Filed Under (Politics) by Matt

Although Hillary Clinton won a lopsided victory in west Virginia her campaign is still dead in the water. She is coming under increasing pressure to find an exit strategy by June.

Clinton captured 67% of the vote to Obamas 33%. She gained 20 of the West Virginia’s 28 delegates. In her speech last night she likened her win to a referendum to continue her campaign. One wonders of she is living in a fantasy world. To just tie Obama she would have to win 172 of the remaining 189 available delegates in the remaining primaries. Plus she would have to woo over to her side 80% of the remaining Super Delegates. Although it is theoretically possible for her to do both it is very unlikely to happen.

Clinton keeps pressing her message that she is etermined to campaign until everyone has had their voices heard. But, the reality is that she is out of money and has a rising debt load. The reality is barring some big scandal Obama has won the nomination. Why Clinton keeps pushing her message of let the voices be heard is that she is hoping for a big scandal to bump Obama off his campaign.

Mean while Obama is acting more like the presumptive nominee campaigning in states that will be battle grounds this coming November. Is this a tactical error on his part? Mathematically speaking I don’t think so. But, strategically, he should be maneuvering for the knock out. So why doesn’t he? It’s a balancing game. The Clinton’s are very powerful political family, millions of democrats feel just as strongly for Hillary Clinton as they do for Barack Obama. Obama is giving Clinton space to maneuver an exit strategy that is good for her and the democratic party.

Will Hillary Clinton be on the ticket as VP? Many of the pundits say no. I say it would be unwise for Obama not to consider her on his short list. Although many people have strong negative feelings towards her she is a strong campaigners that brings a large number of fervent supporters.

Will having Clinton on the ticket energize the conservatives of the Republican party. This is definitely possible. But, I don’t think so. Most of the conservative base is disillusioned with the republican leaders who have been caught with their hand in the cookie jar so to speak. Moreover, john McCain is not an inspiring figure.

So look to see an Obama/Clinton ticket. Obama would be crazy to not have her and she would be crazy not to go down in the history books as the first female VP. Either way the only way for her to not become a footnote in history, like Geraldine Ferraro is to be on the ticket with Obama and not work against him.

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Comments

Vitamin on 16 May, 2008 at 7:22 am #

good luck with the contest, and I hope you learn something.


Motorcycle GPS on 23 May, 2008 at 3:01 pm #

Ya I think Hillary’s run for the presidency is going down the tubes.


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